Can Tony Award Winners Be Predicted With Math?

One statistician seems to think so.



According to statistician Ben Zauzmer, math helps him predict the winners of the Tony Awards every year.

Zauzmer told the Hollywood Reporter, "Every year, I gather data on which categories each show was nominated in, which contenders have won previous theater awards, and what various critics are predicting. I weight each of these factors by how well they’ve predicted each Tony category in the past, and then apply those weights to this year’s nominees to determine the percentage chance each nominee will emerge victorious."

He tweeted his findings below:

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